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Stories

Bitcoin rose 2.93% in 1 hour

What was measured, against which history, from which exchanges, and every revision. The text states a measurement; it never gives a cause, a forecast or advice.

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The story

Resolved · D1 · unusual return · window 1h

Bitcoin (BTC) rose 2.93% in 1 hour, from 78,231.38 to 80,527.21 USD between 4 Nov, 14:30 and 4 Nov, 15:30 UTC (consolidated price from 2 exchanges). Across its previous 462 non-overlapping 1-hour periods the median absolute move was 0.16%; this move is 11.7 times the typical spread of those periods (a robust measure). It is the largest 1-hour gain in the previous 21 days of data. Oddity score 40 (ranking, not a probability). Asset classification unverified.

Sample time 4 Nov, 15:25 UTC, recorded 4 Nov, 15:25 UTC, status FRESH. Exchanges: Coinbase and Kraken.

Oddity score is a ranking, not a probability. It orders stories by how unusual a measured move is against its own history. It says nothing about what happens next or why.

Assets: Bitcoin (BTC, primary).

Evidence

Stored with revision 4 (evidence hash 5a82e09fa935009daff4f5026179f4d9cb1423e61f643aab3f49cb8ebdc3ba28). The numbers in the story text are these stored values.

This kind of story has no price-window table; every stored value is listed under “All stored evidence”.

Chart interval

No price chart is drawn for this story: its interval is not a single price window that fits one chart request.

Source

The stored evidence names no exchange list for this story; see “All stored evidence”.

Prices and volumes cover the listed exchanges only, not the whole market.

Revision history

Every stored revision of this story, oldest first
RevisionKindStateAs of boundary (UTC)Written (UTC)ScoreHeadline
1publishedactive52Bitcoin rose 1.28% in 15 minutes
2updatedupdated57Bitcoin rose 1.16% in 5 minutes
3updatedupdated40Bitcoin rose 2.93% in 1 hour
4resolvedresolved40Bitcoin rose 2.93% in 1 hour

A revision is appended, never edited. Late data can add a revision of kind late_data; the earlier ones stay as they were.

Versions

Rules version
d1-1.0.0
Score version
oddity-1.0.0
Parameters hash
515997e3f2bb
First detected
Published
Resolved

The same inputs with the same versions give the same story. A change to a rule or a weight makes a new version; stored stories are never re-scored.

All stored evidence

3 stored values of revision 4
refers_to_revision
3
resolution.boundary_ts
4 Nov, 15:40 UTC
resolution.reason
quiet